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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I shall deviate to dip our feet into uncharted waters and render our school football picks on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the very first and only time this year we do so, as the last week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season game of NCAA soccer comprising one of the greatest teams in the nation, plus a mythical football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us begin the debate after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week while the Titans were endorsed by me. Weve been swapping wins forth and back so it appears like its my turn to get the wreath, as I heartily endorse the Irish and will follow each of the squares putting the thick lumber on a street favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days ahead of this Monday night affair, I see the line has spiked a half-point on the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is now offered at a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I like the Irish but youre currently leaning onto the Cardinals in this season-opening battle. Other than the venue, why do you think Louisville could hang with the boys out of South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, a convincing triumph and IMO, it said a lot about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Let us proceed to real soccer, will our records with this one and in which the games rely.
Recall Louisville utilized to perform against competitions that are big-name? They more than held their engineered and own upsets. These were fun games to see and the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
However, just like the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville soccer last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out to change the culture and win matches and worked miracles. This will not happen right away as the ability level is down in theVille. This is a significant moment for Louisville, a group which has the chance to start taking actions.
Ive read in which the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I enjoy Hassan Hall since the lead running back. The shield which makes me more worried than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9. You have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much flying into this match as the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest. Scott Satterfield is currently in the big leagues and he has a group coming off of a dismal album in which they went winless in ACC activity last year. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and seeking to turn it in an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a group that made it into the CFP last year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points within the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense clicked on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per match.
My question is, how is a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, supposed to gain some traction against a shield? Particularly when he is working with an entirely new offensive strategy and a new coach?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville will have the ability to keep up and I am desperate to your sage wisdom and handicapping experience!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am happy to read in your last sentence youre coming around to the bright side of sport betting, or youre just being the exact identical shrewd a** you are. Ill let the SBR readers that are currently making school football selections decide on that. I am the first to realize Louisville sucked and was, however 1-11 ATS final season.
However, that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, just like he gave up about the Atlanta Falcons. A fresh attitude is brought by A trainer on building a statement and with this being a federal game, his staff will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does need to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and never have much fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly using the gold and blue is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and when dishing out 20 or more specimens, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. This defense you mentioned may improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, if you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it is going to take some time.
I was being a bit facetious because though youve got an handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, you happen to be shooting, since Louisville could be better than last year but Id submit that they are trained by a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an inept coach like Petrino.
I know that placing nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the public is right, and in this instance they surely are. Until once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, next week, let us see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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